Change analysis for Cuba for PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1_final compared to v2.5_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by -13.6%% (-6799.41 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -1.7%% (-757.24 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by -8.6%% (-3717.99 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -2.0%% (-938.89 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -3111.76 Gg CO2 / year (-11.6%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CH4 with -2514.14 Gg CO2 / year (-38.6%)
• 3: 3.A, N2O with -339.11 Gg CO2 / year (-16.3%)
• 4: 4, CH4 with -253.92 Gg CO2 / year (-4.8%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -236.84 Gg CO2 / year (-7.9%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -399.19 Gg CO2 / year (-1.5%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CH4 with -277.14 Gg CO2 / year (-7.4%)
• 3: 2, CO2 with -65.55 Gg CO2 / year (-5.0%)
• 4: 3.A, N2O with 9.25 Gg CO2 / year (1.2%)
• 5: 4, CH4 with -7.69 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2757.23 Gg CO2 / year (-11.6%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with -434.19 Gg CO2 / year (-6.0%)
• 3: 1.B.2, CH4 with -218.31 Gg CO2 / year (-29.4%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -205.35 Gg CO2 / year (-26.9%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -180.73 Gg CO2 / year (-6.8%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -875.54 Gg CO2 / year (-3.4%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -65.16 Gg CO2 / year (-5.5%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 65.02 Gg CO2 / year (48.5%)
• 4: 1.B.2, CH4 with -36.77 Gg CO2 / year (-4.4%)
• 5: 3.A, CH4 with -13.96 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

• 1.A, CO2: CDIAC 2023 data shows a continued decline in emissions post 2017 which is not present in the EI 2023 data used in PRIMAP-hist v2.5. Thus emissions in v2.5.1 are lower for the latest years. cumulative emissions are only changed slightly.
• 1.B.2, CH4: 2022 emissions are much lower because EDGAR 7.0 showed a steep increase in emissions in 2021 which is not present in EDGAR 8.0. Cumulative emissions are impacted as well.
• 3.A, CH4: 2022 emissions are slightly lower than in v2.5 as FAO 2023 data shows a continued decline in emissions while the extrapolation used in v2.5 also factored in the emissions increase until 2015 and came to a higher emissions estimate for 2022.
• 2, CO2: Emissions in 2.D (non-energy products from fuels and solvent use) are much lower in EDGAR 8.0 than in EDGAR 7.0 and thus emissions in PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1 are lower than in v2.5. As there are no country reported data for 2.D, CO2 the CR time-series are affected as well.
• M.AG.ELV, CH4: 2022 emissions are lower because FAO 2023 and EDGAR 8.0 show constant emissions for the recent years while the extrapolation used for 2022 in v2.5 showed an increase in emissions due to the higher emissions before 2020.
• M.AG.ELV, CO2:  Emissions are higher because EDGAR 8.0 emissions are higher than EDGAR 7.0 emissions.
• M.AG.ELV, N2O: 2022 emissions are lower because FAO 2023 and EDGAR 8.0 show constant emissions for the recent years while the extrapolation used for 2022 in v2.5 showed an increase in emissions due to the higher emissions before 2020.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022

1990-2022

third party scenario

2022

1990-2022

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -3111.76 Gg CO2 / year (-11.6%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CH4 with -2514.14 Gg CO2 / year (-38.6%)
• 3: 3.A, N2O with -339.11 Gg CO2 / year (-16.3%)
• 4: 4, CH4 with -253.92 Gg CO2 / year (-4.8%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -236.84 Gg CO2 / year (-7.9%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -399.19 Gg CO2 / year (-1.5%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CH4 with -277.14 Gg CO2 / year (-7.4%)
• 3: 2, CO2 with -65.55 Gg CO2 / year (-5.0%)
• 4: 3.A, N2O with 9.25 Gg CO2 / year (1.2%)
• 5: 4, CH4 with -7.69 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 27852.77 Gg CO2 / year which is 64.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -16.7% (-5584.98 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -2.2% (-676.89 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 23830.32 Gg CO2 / year which is 85.6% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -11.5% (-3085.48 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -1.5% (-399.22 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.44 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 11.2% (0.25 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -31.6% (-0.97 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 4020.01 Gg CO2 / year which is 14.4% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -38.3% (-2499.75 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -7.2% (-276.70 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 507.63 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -14.0% (-82.30 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -4.5% (-65.46 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 9389.71 Gg CO2 / year which is 21.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -8.6% (-880.55 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-7.26 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6347.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 67.6% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -7.1% (-484.50 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (4.30 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3042.41 Gg CO2 / year which is 32.4% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -11.5% (-396.04 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.4% (-11.56 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5289.53 Gg CO2 / year which is 12.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -4.6% (-256.80 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-7.78 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 187.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 2.9% (5.22 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (0.16 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2757.23 Gg CO2 / year (-11.6%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with -434.19 Gg CO2 / year (-6.0%)
• 3: 1.B.2, CH4 with -218.31 Gg CO2 / year (-29.4%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -205.35 Gg CO2 / year (-26.9%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -180.73 Gg CO2 / year (-6.8%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -875.54 Gg CO2 / year (-3.4%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -65.16 Gg CO2 / year (-5.5%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 65.02 Gg CO2 / year (48.5%)
• 4: 1.B.2, CH4 with -36.77 Gg CO2 / year (-4.4%)
• 5: 3.A, CH4 with -13.96 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 22050.96 Gg CO2 / year which is 55.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -11.6% (-2902.62 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.3% (-912.82 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 21248.93 Gg CO2 / year which is 96.4% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -11.6% (-2779.08 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.4% (-877.47 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 186.40 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.8% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 11.2% (18.78 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.4% (-0.63 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 615.63 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.8% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -18.8% (-142.31 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.2% (-34.72 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1552.25 Gg CO2 / year which is 3.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.6% (-9.30 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.2% (-62.44 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10020.02 Gg CO2 / year which is 25.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -7.6% (-819.01 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (35.98 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6951.08 Gg CO2 / year which is 69.4% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -5.9% (-435.89 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-12.21 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3068.94 Gg CO2 / year which is 30.6% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -11.1% (-383.12 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 1.1% (48.19 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5889.11 Gg CO2 / year which is 14.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (7.72 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.23 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 187.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 2.9% (5.22 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (0.16 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are: