Change analysis for Kenya for PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1_final compared to v2.5_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by 11.6%% (10042.07 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by 1.7%% (994.19 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by 9.8%% (9794.68 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by 1.5%% (977.37 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 6258.28 Gg CO2 / year (36.5%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 2907.79 Gg CO2 / year (12.2%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 1372.27 Gg CO2 / year (10.5%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -433.46 Gg CO2 / year (-12.1%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with -237.16 Gg CO2 / year (-3.5%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 709.05 Gg CO2 / year (7.1%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 153.13 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 74.89 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 57.92 Gg CO2 / year (112.7%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with 51.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 5496.16 Gg CO2 / year (36.5%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 2917.71 Gg CO2 / year (8.2%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 1218.79 Gg CO2 / year (7.1%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 223.03 Gg CO2 / year (363.8%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with -53.11 Gg CO2 / year (-1.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 622.71 Gg CO2 / year (6.5%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 181.63 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 79.09 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 57.92 Gg CO2 / year (112.7%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with 51.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

• 1.A, CO2: CDIAC 2023 shows a persistent growth of emissions after 2017 while the EI data used in v2.5 shows declining emissions in 2019 and 2020. This leads to higher 2022 and cumulative emissions in PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1
• 3.A, CH4: FAO emissions have changed for 2022 and 2021 data have been added. This leads to emissions changes for 2020 - 2022. The impact on cumulative emissions is small.
  
• M.AG.ELV, N2O: FAO emissions have changed for 2022 and 2021 data have been added. This leads to emissions changes for 2020 - 2022. The impact on cumulative emissions is small.
  
• M.AG.ELV, CO2: Data are sourced from EDGAR. EDGAR 8.0 emissions are much higher than EDGAR 7.0 leading to much higher emissions in PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1. While the relative changes are high, the absolute impact on national total emissions is small.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022

1990-2022

third party scenario

2022

1990-2022

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 6258.28 Gg CO2 / year (36.5%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 2907.79 Gg CO2 / year (12.2%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 1372.27 Gg CO2 / year (10.5%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -433.46 Gg CO2 / year (-12.1%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with -237.16 Gg CO2 / year (-3.5%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 709.05 Gg CO2 / year (7.1%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 153.13 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 74.89 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 57.92 Gg CO2 / year (112.7%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with 51.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 41965.93 Gg CO2 / year which is 43.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 16.8% (6037.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 3.5% (785.90 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 30883.62 Gg CO2 / year which is 73.6% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 24.2% (6015.47 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 5.1% (733.85 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 11081.76 Gg CO2 / year which is 26.4% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.2% (21.53 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (52.06 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 0.55 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5955.16 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.9% (-53.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -1.5% (-35.48 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 44920.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 46.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 10.0% (4090.22 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (244.74 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 27015.42 Gg CO2 / year which is 60.1% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 12.2% (2928.37 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.8% (154.49 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 17904.88 Gg CO2 / year which is 39.9% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 6.9% (1161.85 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (90.25 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3088.41 Gg CO2 / year which is 3.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.4% (-12.34 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.37 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 719.38 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -2.7% (-19.71 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-0.60 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 5496.16 Gg CO2 / year (36.5%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 2917.71 Gg CO2 / year (8.2%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 1218.79 Gg CO2 / year (7.1%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 223.03 Gg CO2 / year (363.8%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with -53.11 Gg CO2 / year (-1.0%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 622.71 Gg CO2 / year (6.5%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with 181.63 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 79.09 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 57.92 Gg CO2 / year (112.7%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with 51.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 36303.26 Gg CO2 / year which is 33.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 17.9% (5523.29 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 3.4% (700.99 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 25215.81 Gg CO2 / year which is 69.5% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 27.9% (5501.76 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 5.0% (648.94 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 11081.76 Gg CO2 / year which is 30.5% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.2% (21.53 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (52.06 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5.69 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5224.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -1.0% (-53.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -1.8% (-35.48 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 57487.54 Gg CO2 / year which is 52.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 8.1% (4331.54 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.9% (312.07 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 38552.20 Gg CO2 / year which is 67.1% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 8.2% (2930.82 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.8% (182.64 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 18935.34 Gg CO2 / year which is 32.9% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 8.0% (1400.72 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 1.1% (129.43 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 9548.84 Gg CO2 / year which is 8.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (12.68 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.38 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 719.38 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -2.7% (-19.71 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-0.60 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are: