Change analysis for Kyrgyzstan for PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1_final compared to v2.5_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by -0.7%% (-139.04 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -0.6%% (-79.78 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by -4.7%% (-1047.48 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -0.9%% (-131.21 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -76.14 Gg CO2 / year (-0.7%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 59.01 Gg CO2 / year (125.7%)
• 3: 3.A, CH4 with -46.26 Gg CO2 / year (-1.1%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with -21.25 Gg CO2 / year (-12.7%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with -20.06 Gg CO2 / year (-29.9%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -123.29 Gg CO2 / year (-1.6%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 51.49 Gg CO2 / year (162.6%)
• 3: 3.A, CH4 with -3.15 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with -1.90 Gg CO2 / year (-1.4%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -1.28 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -792.94 Gg CO2 / year (-7.3%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -118.58 Gg CO2 / year (-8.9%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -109.45 Gg CO2 / year (-3.9%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with -74.98 Gg CO2 / year (-1.7%)
• 5: 1.B.2, CH4 with 61.51 Gg CO2 / year (44.1%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 2, CO2 with -113.20 Gg CO2 / year (-17.1%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -92.00 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 51.49 Gg CO2 / year (162.6%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with 30.65 Gg CO2 / year (16.1%)
• 5: 1.A, N2O with 17.37 Gg CO2 / year (32.5%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

• 1.A, CO2:  A change in downscaling of CDIAC data for the former Soviet Union to its member states has raised pre-1990 emissions. The shares are now calculated based on the shares in the first year with data for the individual states instead of a multi year average. This is more realistic as the rapid emissions decline after 1990 differs by country.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022

1990-2022

third party scenario

2022

1990-2022

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -76.14 Gg CO2 / year (-0.7%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 59.01 Gg CO2 / year (125.7%)
• 3: 3.A, CH4 with -46.26 Gg CO2 / year (-1.1%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with -21.25 Gg CO2 / year (-12.7%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with -20.06 Gg CO2 / year (-29.9%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -123.29 Gg CO2 / year (-1.6%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 51.49 Gg CO2 / year (162.6%)
• 3: 3.A, CH4 with -3.15 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with -1.90 Gg CO2 / year (-1.4%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -1.28 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10754.29 Gg CO2 / year which is 55.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -1.2% (-129.18 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -1.5% (-126.56 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1232.29 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.3% (-3.72 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-0.34 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6461.25 Gg CO2 / year which is 33.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-3.70 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 1.0% (47.20 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 754.11 Gg CO2 / year which is 3.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.9% (-7.13 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.22 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 56.79 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 9.0% (4.70 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.4% (0.14 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -792.94 Gg CO2 / year (-7.3%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -118.58 Gg CO2 / year (-8.9%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -109.45 Gg CO2 / year (-3.9%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with -74.98 Gg CO2 / year (-1.7%)
• 5: 1.B.2, CH4 with 61.51 Gg CO2 / year (44.1%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 2, CO2 with -113.20 Gg CO2 / year (-17.1%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -92.00 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 51.49 Gg CO2 / year (162.6%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with 30.65 Gg CO2 / year (16.1%)
• 5: 1.A, N2O with 17.37 Gg CO2 / year (32.5%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10815.77 Gg CO2 / year which is 51.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -7.1% (-830.32 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.7% (-55.40 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10228.95 Gg CO2 / year which is 94.6% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -7.4% (-818.75 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -1.0% (-72.66 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 373.38 Gg CO2 / year which is 3.5% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -14.1% (-61.49 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 15.6% (30.46 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 213.44 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 30.5% (49.92 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -13.8% (-13.20 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1206.90 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -8.9% (-118.55 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -17.1% (-113.19 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6313.09 Gg CO2 / year which is 29.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (7.25 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.9% (40.50 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2816.73 Gg CO2 / year which is 13.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -3.8% (-110.56 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-3.26 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 56.79 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 9.0% (4.70 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.4% (0.14 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are: