Changes in PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1_final compared to v2.5_final for Sri Lanka

2024-02-29

Johannes Gütschow

Change analysis for Sri Lanka for PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1_final compared to v2.5_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2022 have changed by -10.3%% (-3818.07 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -3.5%% (-976.34 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2022 have changed by -10.3%% (-3818.07 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -3.5%% (-976.34 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2029.24 Gg CO2 / year (-11.4%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -1290.74 Gg CO2 / year (-80.1%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -354.73 Gg CO2 / year (-20.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -231.51 Gg CO2 / year (-22.2%)
  • 5: 3.A, CH4 with 164.14 Gg CO2 / year (9.4%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -374.51 Gg CO2 / year (-3.0%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -334.57 Gg CO2 / year (-52.3%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -156.75 Gg CO2 / year (-9.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -90.63 Gg CO2 / year (-7.5%)
  • 5: 2, CO2 with -19.18 Gg CO2 / year (-2.7%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2029.24 Gg CO2 / year (-11.4%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -1290.74 Gg CO2 / year (-80.1%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -354.73 Gg CO2 / year (-20.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -231.51 Gg CO2 / year (-22.2%)
  • 5: 3.A, CH4 with 164.14 Gg CO2 / year (9.4%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -374.51 Gg CO2 / year (-3.0%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -334.57 Gg CO2 / year (-52.3%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -156.75 Gg CO2 / year (-9.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -90.63 Gg CO2 / year (-7.5%)
  • 5: 2, CO2 with -19.18 Gg CO2 / year (-2.7%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

  • 1.A, CO2: CDIAC 2023 data shows a strong decline in emissions in 2018 which is less pronounced in the EI 2023 data used in PRIMAP-hist v2.5. Thus post 2017 emissions are lower in PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1.
  • M.AG.ELV, CO2: EDGAR 8.0 emissions are much lower than EDGAR 7.0 after 2004 and in consequence PRIMAP-hist v2.5.1 emissions are much lower than v2.5 after 2004.
  • M.AG.ELV, N2O: FAO emissions data are lower for the years after 1990 in the 2013 relase and thus PRIMAP-hist emissions are lower than in v2.5

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022


1990-2022


third party scenario

2022


1990-2022


Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2029.24 Gg CO2 / year (-11.4%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -1290.74 Gg CO2 / year (-80.1%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -354.73 Gg CO2 / year (-20.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -231.51 Gg CO2 / year (-22.2%)
  • 5: 3.A, CH4 with 164.14 Gg CO2 / year (9.4%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -374.51 Gg CO2 / year (-3.0%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -334.57 Gg CO2 / year (-52.3%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -156.75 Gg CO2 / year (-9.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -90.63 Gg CO2 / year (-7.5%)
  • 5: 2, CO2 with -19.18 Gg CO2 / year (-2.7%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 17011.61 Gg CO2 / year which is 51.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -12.1% (-2350.85 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.4% (-478.11 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

    The changes come from the following subsectors:
    • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 16952.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 99.7% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -12.2% (-2352.56 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.4% (-478.68 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 45.48 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.3% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 3.4% (1.48 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.8% (0.62 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 13.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 1.7% (0.23 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.3% (-0.05 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2119.41 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.8% (-16.62 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -2.1% (-19.18 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6931.72 Gg CO2 / year which is 20.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -16.8% (-1399.66 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -6.6% (-477.50 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

    The changes come from the following subsectors:
    • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1936.89 Gg CO2 / year which is 27.9% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 9.3% (165.59 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (7.00 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 4994.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 72.1% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -23.9% (-1565.25 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -9.5% (-484.50 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6740.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 20.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.01 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 326.75 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -13.5% (-51.13 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.6% (-1.55 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2029.24 Gg CO2 / year (-11.4%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -1290.74 Gg CO2 / year (-80.1%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -354.73 Gg CO2 / year (-20.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -231.51 Gg CO2 / year (-22.2%)
  • 5: 3.A, CH4 with 164.14 Gg CO2 / year (9.4%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with -374.51 Gg CO2 / year (-3.0%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -334.57 Gg CO2 / year (-52.3%)
  • 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -156.75 Gg CO2 / year (-9.4%)
  • 4: 1.A, CH4 with -90.63 Gg CO2 / year (-7.5%)
  • 5: 2, CO2 with -19.18 Gg CO2 / year (-2.7%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 17011.61 Gg CO2 / year which is 51.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -12.1% (-2350.85 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.4% (-478.11 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

    The changes come from the following subsectors:
    • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 16952.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 99.7% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -12.2% (-2352.56 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.4% (-478.68 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 45.48 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.3% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 3.4% (1.48 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.8% (0.62 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 13.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 1.7% (0.23 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.3% (-0.05 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2119.41 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.8% (-16.62 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -2.1% (-19.18 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6931.72 Gg CO2 / year which is 20.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -16.8% (-1399.66 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -6.6% (-477.50 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

    The changes come from the following subsectors:
    • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1936.89 Gg CO2 / year which is 27.9% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 9.3% (165.59 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (7.00 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 4994.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 72.1% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -23.9% (-1565.25 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -9.5% (-484.50 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6740.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 20.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.01 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 326.75 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -13.5% (-51.13 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.6% (-1.55 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are: