Changes in PRIMAP-hist v2.6_final compared to v2.5.1_final for Brazil

2024-09-24

Johannes Gütschow

Change analysis for Brazil for PRIMAP-hist v2.6_final compared to v2.5.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2022 have changed by -0.0%% (-567.90 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by 0.1%% (892.64 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2022 have changed by -0.0%% (-176.40 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by 0.1%% (1020.89 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 2, CO2 with -951.04 Gg CO2 / year (-1.2%)
  • 2: 4, CH4 with 702.03 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -387.06 Gg CO2 / year (-6.3%)
  • 4: 1.B.2, CO2 with 243.11 Gg CO2 / year (2.7%)
  • 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -117.86 Gg CO2 / year (-0.7%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with 923.32 Gg CO2 / year (20.7%)
  • 2: 2, CO2 with -155.41 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
  • 3: 4, CH4 with 109.55 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
  • 4: 1.B.2, CO2 with 17.21 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
  • 5: 4, N2O with -9.03 Gg CO2 / year (-0.5%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with 1279.60 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
  • 2: 2, CO2 with -1016.56 Gg CO2 / year (-2.3%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -387.06 Gg CO2 / year (-6.3%)
  • 4: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -117.86 Gg CO2 / year (-0.7%)
  • 5: 1.A, CO2 with 108.64 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with 923.32 Gg CO2 / year (20.7%)
  • 2: 4, CH4 with 201.72 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
  • 3: 2, CO2 with -157.39 Gg CO2 / year (-0.4%)
  • 4: 4, N2O with 35.21 Gg CO2 / year (1.3%)
  • 5: 1.B.2, CO2 with 8.57 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

  • There is no new country reported data for Brazil and thus the data changes are minimal.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022


1990-2022


third party scenario

2022


1990-2022


Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 2, CO2 with -951.04 Gg CO2 / year (-1.2%)
  • 2: 4, CH4 with 702.03 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -387.06 Gg CO2 / year (-6.3%)
  • 4: 1.B.2, CO2 with 243.11 Gg CO2 / year (2.7%)
  • 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -117.86 Gg CO2 / year (-0.7%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with 923.32 Gg CO2 / year (20.7%)
  • 2: 2, CO2 with -155.41 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
  • 3: 4, CH4 with 109.55 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
  • 4: 1.B.2, CO2 with 17.21 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
  • 5: 4, N2O with -9.03 Gg CO2 / year (-0.5%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 418190.84 Gg CO2 / year which is 35.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (341.15 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (22.53 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 100429.90 Gg CO2 / year which is 8.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -1.1% (-1126.15 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-153.56 Gg CO2 / year).
  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 559673.19 Gg CO2 / year which is 47.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 88669.47 Gg CO2 / year which is 7.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (604.25 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.2% (100.35 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5787.24 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -6.3% (-387.06 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 20.7% (923.32 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with 1279.60 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
  • 2: 2, CO2 with -1016.56 Gg CO2 / year (-2.3%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -387.06 Gg CO2 / year (-6.3%)
  • 4: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -117.86 Gg CO2 / year (-0.7%)
  • 5: 1.A, CO2 with 108.64 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with 923.32 Gg CO2 / year (20.7%)
  • 2: 4, CH4 with 201.72 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
  • 3: 2, CO2 with -157.39 Gg CO2 / year (-0.4%)
  • 4: 4, N2O with 35.21 Gg CO2 / year (1.3%)
  • 5: 1.B.2, CO2 with 8.57 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 481021.19 Gg CO2 / year which is 37.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (146.14 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (14.47 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 62891.85 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -1.9% (-1196.24 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.3% (-153.57 Gg CO2 / year).
  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 575197.34 Gg CO2 / year which is 44.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 164591.22 Gg CO2 / year which is 12.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.8% (1260.82 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.2% (236.68 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5787.24 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -6.3% (-387.06 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 20.7% (923.32 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are: