Changes in PRIMAP-hist v2.6_final compared to v2.5.1_final for Saint Kitts and Nevis

2024-09-24

Johannes Gütschow

Change analysis for Saint Kitts and Nevis for PRIMAP-hist v2.6_final compared to v2.5.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2022 have changed by 23.2%% (65.83 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by 5.3%% (12.96 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2022 have changed by -1.2%% (-3.53 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -0.6%% (-1.47 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with 41.55 Gg CO2 / year (17.8%)
  • 2: 4, CH4 with 24.80 Gg CO2 / year (69.2%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -2.33 Gg CO2 / year (-50.8%)
  • 4: 1.A, N2O with 2.10 Gg CO2 / year (404.2%)
  • 5: 4, N2O with -0.72 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with 14.51 Gg CO2 / year (45.3%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -2.07 Gg CO2 / year (-38.2%)
  • 3: 1.A, N2O with 1.93 Gg CO2 / year (359.5%)
  • 4: 3.A, CH4 with 1.70 Gg CO2 / year (17.5%)
  • 5: 5, N2O with -1.50 Gg CO2 / year (-46.4%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with -2.33 Gg CO2 / year (-50.8%)
  • 2: 1.A, CO2 with -2.18 Gg CO2 / year (-0.9%)
  • 3: 4, CH4 with 1.06 Gg CO2 / year (3.0%)
  • 4: 4, N2O with -0.11 Gg CO2 / year (-15.5%)
  • 5: 4, CO2 with 0.03 Gg CO2 / year (inf%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with -1.50 Gg CO2 / year (-46.4%)
  • 2: 4, N2O with -0.10 Gg CO2 / year (-16.0%)
  • 3: 4, CH4 with 0.09 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)
  • 4: 1.A, CO2 with 0.02 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
  • 5: 4, CO2 with 0.01 Gg CO2 / year (inf%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

  • We have included data from BUR1 which introduces changes for many sectors and gases in the CR scenario.
  • Energy CO2: higher values in BUR1
  • Waste CH4 is higher in BUR1 than in EDGAR 8.0
  • 1.A, N2O is much higher in BUR1 than in EDGAR 8.0
  • Waste N2O is zero in BUR1.
  • 3.A, CH4 BUR1 is a bit higher than FAOSTAT but has a very similar profile (likely using the same activity data)
  • Other N2O is much lower due to the removal of FAOSTAT data (CR, TP)

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022


1990-2022


third party scenario

2022


1990-2022


Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 1.A, CO2 with 41.55 Gg CO2 / year (17.8%)
  • 2: 4, CH4 with 24.80 Gg CO2 / year (69.2%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -2.33 Gg CO2 / year (-50.8%)
  • 4: 1.A, N2O with 2.10 Gg CO2 / year (404.2%)
  • 5: 4, N2O with -0.72 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with 14.51 Gg CO2 / year (45.3%)
  • 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -2.07 Gg CO2 / year (-38.2%)
  • 3: 1.A, N2O with 1.93 Gg CO2 / year (359.5%)
  • 4: 3.A, CH4 with 1.70 Gg CO2 / year (17.5%)
  • 5: 5, N2O with -1.50 Gg CO2 / year (-46.4%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 277.48 Gg CO2 / year which is 79.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 18.8% (43.89 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (1.33 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    The changes come from the following subsectors:
    • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 277.48 Gg CO2 / year which is 100.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 18.8% (43.90 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (1.33 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 0.00 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -80.5% (-0.01 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -87.0% (-0.01 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 0.45 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 8.81 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 1.8% (0.16 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -4.9% (-0.77 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

    The changes come from the following subsectors:
    • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6.02 Gg CO2 / year which is 68.4% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 1.0% (0.06 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 12.8% (1.30 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
    • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.78 Gg CO2 / year which is 31.6% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 3.5% (0.09 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -37.6% (-2.07 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

      For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

      There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 60.69 Gg CO2 / year which is 17.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 65.9% (24.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 42.6% (13.91 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.26 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -50.8% (-2.33 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -46.4% (-1.50 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with -2.33 Gg CO2 / year (-50.8%)
  • 2: 1.A, CO2 with -2.18 Gg CO2 / year (-0.9%)
  • 3: 4, CH4 with 1.06 Gg CO2 / year (3.0%)
  • 4: 4, N2O with -0.11 Gg CO2 / year (-15.5%)
  • 5: 4, CO2 with 0.03 Gg CO2 / year (inf%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

  • 1: 5, N2O with -1.50 Gg CO2 / year (-46.4%)
  • 2: 4, N2O with -0.10 Gg CO2 / year (-16.0%)
  • 3: 4, CH4 with 0.09 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)
  • 4: 1.A, CO2 with 0.02 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
  • 5: 4, CO2 with 0.01 Gg CO2 / year (inf%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 231.40 Gg CO2 / year which is 82.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.9% (-2.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.02 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 0.45 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 8.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 3.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (0.01 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 37.56 Gg CO2 / year which is 13.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 2.7% (0.98 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.01 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.26 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -50.8% (-2.33 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -46.4% (-1.50 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are: