Change analysis for Sweden for PRIMAP-hist v2.6_final compared to v2.5.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.5.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by -6.3%% (-3067.49 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by -0.3%% (-214.98 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2022 have changed by 4.2%% (2343.97 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2022 have changed by 0.5%% (401.68 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -3017.64 Gg CO2 / year (-9.1%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -238.03 Gg CO2 / year (-8.3%)
• 3: 2, CO2 with 227.06 Gg CO2 / year (4.0%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with 53.37 Gg CO2 / year (1.5%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -43.73 Gg CO2 / year (-4.4%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -255.72 Gg CO2 / year (-8.7%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CO2 with 113.55 Gg CO2 / year (28.7%)
• 3: 1.A, CO2 with -94.32 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with 16.25 Gg CO2 / year (0.4%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -11.15 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CH4 with 1896.83 Gg CO2 / year (31.0%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 451.39 Gg CO2 / year (1.5%)
• 3: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with -34.90 Gg CO2 / year (-28.0%)
• 4: 5, N2O with 33.85 Gg CO2 / year (15.6%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -33.80 Gg CO2 / year (-3.4%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CH4 with 260.71 Gg CO2 / year (2.9%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 131.05 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)
• 3: 5, N2O with 5.44 Gg CO2 / year (1.4%)
• 4: 4, CO2 with 1.88 Gg CO2 / year (1.8%)
• 5: 4, N2O with 1.17 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country. ’' means that the following text only applies to the TP time series, while  means that it only applies to the CR scenario. Otherwise the note applies to both scenarios.

• We have included EEA2024 data for Sweden.
• The 9% reduction in 2022 energy CO2 emissions comes from the new EEA data which shows declining emissions while EI2023 shows an emission increase for 2022. EI2024 also shows an emissions decline, but due to changes for earlier years and the harmonization to CDIAC data 2022 emissions are decreased slightly.
• 1.B.2, CO2 Cumulative emissions in the CR scenario are higher because EEA data is much higher for 2015 - 2021 than CRF2023.
• N2O emissions from agriculture are over 8% lower cumulatively and in 2022 because they are lower in EEA2024 than in CRF2023.
• Changes in sectors 4 and 5 in the TP scenario are due to the removal of FAOSTAT data.
• 2022 data changes for energy CO2 in the TP scenario are due to updated 2022 values in the new input data.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF. ## country reported scenario

2022

1990-2022

third party scenario

2022

1990-2022

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -3017.64 Gg CO2 / year (-9.1%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -238.03 Gg CO2 / year (-8.3%)
• 3: 2, CO2 with 227.06 Gg CO2 / year (4.0%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with 53.37 Gg CO2 / year (1.5%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -43.73 Gg CO2 / year (-4.4%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -255.72 Gg CO2 / year (-8.7%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CO2 with 113.55 Gg CO2 / year (28.7%)
• 3: 1.A, CO2 with -94.32 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with 16.25 Gg CO2 / year (0.4%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -11.15 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 30883.23 Gg CO2 / year which is 67.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -9.0% (-3045.82 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (20.30 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 30833.79 Gg CO2 / year which is 99.8% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -9.0% (-3042.44 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-95.12 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 11.77 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 29.4% (2.67 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 1.2% (0.08 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 37.67 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of category 1 emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -13.8% (-6.04 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 24.2% (115.33 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 7135.52 Gg CO2 / year which is 15.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 2.5% (173.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-6.15 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6583.68 Gg CO2 / year which is 14.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -2.7% (-185.08 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -3.4% (-239.48 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3836.29 Gg CO2 / year which is 58.3% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 1.5% (57.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.4% (16.36 Gg CO2 / year).
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2747.39 Gg CO2 / year which is 41.7% of category M.AG emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -8.1% (-242.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by -8.3% (-255.84 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 948.47 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -4.4% (-43.57 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.2% (4.92 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 250.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 15.6% (33.85 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 1.4% (5.44 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2022 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CH4 with 1896.83 Gg CO2 / year (31.0%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 451.39 Gg CO2 / year (1.5%)
• 3: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with -34.90 Gg CO2 / year (-28.0%)
• 4: 5, N2O with 33.85 Gg CO2 / year (15.6%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -33.80 Gg CO2 / year (-3.4%)

For 1990-2022 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2022 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CH4 with 260.71 Gg CO2 / year (2.9%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 131.05 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)
• 3: 5, N2O with 5.44 Gg CO2 / year (1.4%)
• 4: 4, CO2 with 1.88 Gg CO2 / year (1.8%)
• 5: 4, N2O with 1.17 Gg CO2 / year (0.7%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 32585.67 Gg CO2 / year which is 55.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 1.4% (451.38 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (131.05 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 9190.70 Gg CO2 / year which is 15.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by -0.7% (-62.56 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (1.42 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 7983.62 Gg CO2 / year which is 13.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 8376.26 Gg CO2 / year which is 14.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 29.8% (1921.29 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 2.9% (263.76 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2022 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 250.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2022 Emissions have changed by 15.6% (33.85 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2022 Emissions have changed by 1.4% (5.44 Gg CO2 / year). For 2022 the changes per gas are: