Changes in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1_final compared to v2.6_final for Eswatini

2025-03-19

Johannes Gütschow

Change analysis for Eswatini for PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1_final compared to v2.6_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2023 have changed by -3.1%% (-98.28 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -3.9%% (-115.30 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

  • Emissions in 2023 have changed by -3.1%% (-98.28 Gg CO2 / year)
  • Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -3.9%% (-115.30 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -107.84 Gg CO2 / year (-41.4%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 23.64 Gg CO2 / year (12.2%)
  • 3: 3.A, CH4 with -8.92 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
  • 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -6.81 Gg CO2 / year (-23.9%)
  • 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 5.35 Gg CO2 / year (1.4%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -119.69 Gg CO2 / year (-31.0%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 8.58 Gg CO2 / year (4.1%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -1.95 Gg CO2 / year (-5.0%)
  • 4: 3.A, CH4 with -1.40 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
  • 5: 1.A, N2O with -1.11 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -107.84 Gg CO2 / year (-41.4%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 23.64 Gg CO2 / year (12.2%)
  • 3: 3.A, CH4 with -8.92 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
  • 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -6.81 Gg CO2 / year (-23.9%)
  • 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 5.35 Gg CO2 / year (1.4%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -119.69 Gg CO2 / year (-31.0%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 8.58 Gg CO2 / year (4.1%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -1.95 Gg CO2 / year (-5.0%)
  • 4: 3.A, CH4 with -1.40 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
  • 5: 1.A, N2O with -1.11 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

  • There is no usable country reported data for Eswatini, thus the CR and TP time-series are identical.
  • The main change is for waste CH4 and due to updated EDGAR data. Additional contributions from fugitive CH4 and agricultural emission also come from EDGAR and FAO input data updates but are much smaller in their influence on total emissions.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023


1990-2023


third party scenario

2023


1990-2023


Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -107.84 Gg CO2 / year (-41.4%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 23.64 Gg CO2 / year (12.2%)
  • 3: 3.A, CH4 with -8.92 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
  • 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -6.81 Gg CO2 / year (-23.9%)
  • 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 5.35 Gg CO2 / year (1.4%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -119.69 Gg CO2 / year (-31.0%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 8.58 Gg CO2 / year (4.1%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -1.95 Gg CO2 / year (-5.0%)
  • 4: 3.A, CH4 with -1.40 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
  • 5: 1.A, N2O with -1.11 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1744.05 Gg CO2 / year which is 57.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.3% (22.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.5% (7.48 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -4.7% (-0.53 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.7% (-0.06 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:

  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1060.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 35.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -1.0% (-10.34 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-1.09 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 165.82 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -39.0% (-107.83 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -30.0% (-119.68 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:

  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 40.77 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -4.0% (-1.77 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -5.0% (-1.95 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -107.84 Gg CO2 / year (-41.4%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 23.64 Gg CO2 / year (12.2%)
  • 3: 3.A, CH4 with -8.92 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
  • 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with -6.81 Gg CO2 / year (-23.9%)
  • 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 5.35 Gg CO2 / year (1.4%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

  • 1: 4, CH4 with -119.69 Gg CO2 / year (-31.0%)
  • 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with 8.58 Gg CO2 / year (4.1%)
  • 3: 5, N2O with -1.95 Gg CO2 / year (-5.0%)
  • 4: 3.A, CH4 with -1.40 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
  • 5: 1.A, N2O with -1.11 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

  • 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1744.05 Gg CO2 / year which is 57.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.3% (22.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.5% (7.48 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -4.7% (-0.53 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.7% (-0.06 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:

  • M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1060.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 35.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -1.0% (-10.34 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-1.09 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 165.82 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -39.0% (-107.83 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -30.0% (-119.68 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:

  • 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 40.77 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -4.0% (-1.77 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -5.0% (-1.95 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:

    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are: