Change analysis for Belarus for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 1.0%% (889.77 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -0.2%% (-230.07 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 0.9%% (841.00 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.1%% (91.99 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 915.25 Gg CO2 / year (1.9%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -263.07 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)
• 3: 5, N2O with -196.73 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 4: 4, CH4 with 194.25 Gg CO2 / year (3.0%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with 139.08 Gg CO2 / year (2.9%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 5, N2O with -262.35 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 26.92 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -7.74 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)
• 4: 4, CH4 with 5.71 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with 4.09 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 840.99 Gg CO2 / year (1.6%)
• 2: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 3: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, NF3 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 91.99 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
• 2: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 3: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, NF3 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• Data from BTR1 has been replaced by data from the 2025 National Inventory Submission, This leads to changes in several sectors and gases which are small in terms of total emissions.
• The main change for 2023 is a 1.9% increase in energy CO2 emissions where 2023 growth rates in the CR data are higher than the growth rates in EI 2024 used for extrapolation in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1
• N2O in the “other” sector is now reported as “not occurring” and thus 0 in the CR time-series.
• For 2023 we have some small changes due to the replacement of third party data by country reported data while changes in cumulative emissions are negligible.
• Changes in the TP scenario are very small and mainly come from the updated EI data for energy CO2.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 915.25 Gg CO2 / year (1.9%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -263.07 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)
• 3: 5, N2O with -196.73 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 4: 4, CH4 with 194.25 Gg CO2 / year (3.0%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with 139.08 Gg CO2 / year (2.9%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 5, N2O with -262.35 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 26.92 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -7.74 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)
• 4: 4, CH4 with 5.71 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with 4.09 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 55424.19 Gg CO2 / year which is 62.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.6% (827.82 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (24.81 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5816.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 3.2% (182.51 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (5.37 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 21116.19 Gg CO2 / year which is 23.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.6% (-120.78 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-3.69 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6627.69 Gg CO2 / year which is 7.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 3.0% (196.95 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (5.79 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 0.00 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -100.0% (-196.73 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -100.0% (-262.35 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 840.99 Gg CO2 / year (1.6%)
• 2: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 3: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, NF3 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 91.99 Gg CO2 / year (0.2%)
• 2: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 3: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, NF3 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 59151.06 Gg CO2 / year which is 62.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.5% (841.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (91.99 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5067.73 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 24211.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 25.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5871.18 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 199.55 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).