Change analysis for Estonia for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by -10.1%% (-1234.86 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -0.1%% (-26.73 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 2.3%% (390.24 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.1%% (12.95 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -1183.25 Gg CO2 / year (-12.0%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with -18.99 Gg CO2 / year (-2.4%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -18.91 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)
• 4: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 7.46 Gg CO2 / year (3.4%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -6.28 Gg CO2 / year (-17.4%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -28.65 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 9.87 Gg CO2 / year (1.6%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -3.90 Gg CO2 / year (-0.9%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with -2.84 Gg CO2 / year (-0.3%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with -0.96 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 390.61 Gg CO2 / year (4.0%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CO2 with -0.37 Gg CO2 / year (-12.6%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 12.96 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CO2 with -0.01 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• Data from BTR1 has been replaced by data from the 2025 National Inventory Submission. This leads to changes in several sectors and gases which are small in terms of total cumulative emissions and also for 2023 for all sectors except energy CO2.
  • The lower energy CO2 data in 2023 comes from a steep drop in emissions for 2023 which was less pronounced in the EI2024 data used for extrapolation in v2.6.1.
• Changes in the TP scenario are small and mainly come from the updated EI data for energy CO2 where new EI data shows slightly higher emissions for 2023.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -1183.25 Gg CO2 / year (-12.0%)
• 2: 3.A, CH4 with -18.99 Gg CO2 / year (-2.4%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -18.91 Gg CO2 / year (-2.6%)
• 4: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 7.46 Gg CO2 / year (3.4%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -6.28 Gg CO2 / year (-17.4%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -28.65 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 9.87 Gg CO2 / year (1.6%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -3.90 Gg CO2 / year (-0.9%)
• 4: 3.A, CH4 with -2.84 Gg CO2 / year (-0.3%)
• 5: 2, CO2 with -0.96 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 11979.73 Gg CO2 / year which is 84.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -11.9% (-1185.89 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-28.78 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 11962.58 Gg CO2 / year which is 99.9% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -11.9% (-1183.34 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-28.70 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 17.15 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -14.3% (-2.55 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-0.07 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 312.23 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.7% (4.97 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-0.75 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1603.37 Gg CO2 / year which is 11.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -3.1% (-49.21 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.4% (6.08 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 820.36 Gg CO2 / year which is 51.2% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -2.9% (-24.02 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.4% (-3.60 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 783.02 Gg CO2 / year which is 48.8% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -3.3% (-25.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 1.6% (9.68 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 313.47 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -1.5% (-4.72 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.7% (-3.29 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 50.16 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 390.61 Gg CO2 / year (4.0%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CO2 with -0.37 Gg CO2 / year (-12.6%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 12.96 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 2: 1.B.2, CO2 with -0.01 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 15882.45 Gg CO2 / year which is 82.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 2.8% (390.24 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (12.95 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 12059.29 Gg CO2 / year which is 75.9% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 3.8% (390.61 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (12.96 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3753.61 Gg CO2 / year which is 23.6% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 69.54 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.5% (-0.37 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.01 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 292.33 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2292.37 Gg CO2 / year which is 11.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 796.72 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 50.16 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).