Change analysis for France for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 0.8%% (2837.52 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 1.3%% (6352.42 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 0.4%% (1480.06 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.0%% (114.52 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 2138.07 Gg CO2 / year (5.2%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -1932.11 Gg CO2 / year (-0.8%)
• 3: 4, N2O with 1780.92 Gg CO2 / year (197.6%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with -1038.10 Gg CO2 / year (-4.0%)
• 5: 4, CH4 with 763.49 Gg CO2 / year (5.7%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 3116.39 Gg CO2 / year (6.7%)
• 2: 4, N2O with 1705.67 Gg CO2 / year (169.5%)
• 3: 1.A, CO2 with 1122.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 399.95 Gg CO2 / year (1.8%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with 249.04 Gg CO2 / year (5.8%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 1482.73 Gg CO2 / year (0.6%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -2.78 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 2, N2O with 0.07 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, CH4 with 0.04 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 114.57 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -0.08 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 2, N2O with 0.02 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, CH4 with 0.01 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• Data from BTR1 has been replaced by data from the 2025 National Inventory Submission. This leads to changes in several sectors and gases which are cancel out and lead to small changes in total emissions.
  • CH4 emissions from livestock are higher for all years. The reason is a substantial decrease in the manure management emissions factor for dairy cattle.
  • N2O emissions from waste are more than double of last year’s estimate, because the emissions factor for N2O from domestic wastewater has been increased. CH4 emissions are higher in 2023 because the CR data show and increase in emissions while EDGAR shows a decrease.
  • CO2 in the IPPU sector is lower for 2023 as for several subsectors the CR data does not fully coincide with the extrapolated data used last year (based on EDGAR growth rates).
  • Energy CO2 emissions have a small reduction for 2023 because the 2023 growth rates in the CR data are lower than the growth rates in EI 2024 used for extrapolation in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1.
  • N2O emissions in M.AG.ELV are slightly higher for all years because the emissions factor for organic N fertilizer is higher in the 2025 CR data.
• Changes in the TP scenario are very small and mainly come from the updated EI data for energy CO2.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 2138.07 Gg CO2 / year (5.2%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -1932.11 Gg CO2 / year (-0.8%)
• 3: 4, N2O with 1780.92 Gg CO2 / year (197.6%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with -1038.10 Gg CO2 / year (-4.0%)
• 5: 4, CH4 with 763.49 Gg CO2 / year (5.7%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 3116.39 Gg CO2 / year (6.7%)
• 2: 4, N2O with 1705.67 Gg CO2 / year (169.5%)
• 3: 1.A, CO2 with 1122.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 399.95 Gg CO2 / year (1.8%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with 249.04 Gg CO2 / year (5.8%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 279206.34 Gg CO2 / year which is 68.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.6% (-1612.88 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.4% (1382.08 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 39952.67 Gg CO2 / year which is 9.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -1.5% (-528.90 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.3% (-207.06 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 67326.68 Gg CO2 / year which is 16.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 4.2% (2724.97 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 4.8% (3512.05 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 45919.58 Gg CO2 / year which is 68.2% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 4.9% (2103.63 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 6.4% (3114.95 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 21407.09 Gg CO2 / year which is 31.8% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 2.9% (621.34 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 1.6% (397.10 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 18380.59 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 14.1% (2254.34 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 8.6% (1665.36 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 835.44 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 1482.73 Gg CO2 / year (0.6%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -2.78 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 2, N2O with 0.07 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, CH4 with 0.04 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 114.57 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -0.08 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 2, N2O with 0.02 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 2, CH4 with 0.01 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 300418.82 Gg CO2 / year which is 71.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.5% (1482.72 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (114.57 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 28512.37 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-2.67 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.05 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 70810.39 Gg CO2 / year which is 16.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 20712.97 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 835.44 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).