Change analysis for Guatemala for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by -0.7%% (-232.55 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -5.3%% (-1278.14 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 0.2%% (93.92 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.3%% (97.22 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -1125.60 Gg CO2 / year (-5.5%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -1056.70 Gg CO2 / year (-48.6%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 927.15 Gg CO2 / year (49.2%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with 882.23 Gg CO2 / year (66.4%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -480.97 Gg CO2 / year (-41.7%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -1475.59 Gg CO2 / year (-53.4%)
• 2: 1.A, CH4 with 437.41 Gg CO2 / year (32.8%)
• 3: 3.A, N2O with -272.52 Gg CO2 / year (-67.7%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with 164.65 Gg CO2 / year (82.1%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -158.49 Gg CO2 / year (-58.8%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CO2 with 202.82 Gg CO2 / year (46446.3%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -108.90 Gg CO2 / year (-0.6%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 5, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 4, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CO2 with 105.10 Gg CO2 / year (87154.5%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -7.90 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)
• 3: 2, CH4 with 0.02 Gg CO2 / year (3.6%)
• 4: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 5, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• CRT data from BTR1 has been added. It covers 1990-2022 and replaced data from NC3 and the UNFCCC DI portal. Total changes are very small for 2023 and moderate for cumulative emissions because for 2023 individual sector changes mostly cancel out.
  • Energy CO2 differs for many years but the changes are moderate and mostly cancel for cumulative emissions. CH4 from the energy sector is much higher post 2000 and now in line with EDGAR data. N2O is higher as well and also more in line with EDGAR data (until 2014).
  • CO2 in IPPU is much higher starting in 2020 because the CRT data shows a strong increase in mineral industry emissions post 2019 which is not present in the third party data used for extrapolation in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1.
  • N2O from M.AG.ELV is much lower for all years in the CRT data compared to older country reported data. CH4 is higher for almost all years.
  • N2O from livestock is similar for recent years but the very high data points for 1990 and 2000 have been replaced by data more in line with recent emissions.
  • HFC emissions are lower in the new CR data for all years.
  • CO2 emissions from waste are now much higher, but the influence on total emissions changes is small in the CR time-series.
• In the TP time-series the main change is for waste CO2 where no third party data exists and the change in CR emissions influences the TP time-series.
  • Energy CO2 emissions are slightly lower due to the updated EI data.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -1125.60 Gg CO2 / year (-5.5%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -1056.70 Gg CO2 / year (-48.6%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 927.15 Gg CO2 / year (49.2%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with 882.23 Gg CO2 / year (66.4%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -480.97 Gg CO2 / year (-41.7%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: M.AG.ELV, N2O with -1475.59 Gg CO2 / year (-53.4%)
• 2: 1.A, CH4 with 437.41 Gg CO2 / year (32.8%)
• 3: 3.A, N2O with -272.52 Gg CO2 / year (-67.7%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with 164.65 Gg CO2 / year (82.1%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -158.49 Gg CO2 / year (-58.8%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 21579.09 Gg CO2 / year which is 64.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.6% (144.89 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 4.0% (552.81 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 21387.94 Gg CO2 / year which is 99.1% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (26.09 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 3.5% (481.44 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 190.26 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.9% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by inf% (190.26 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by inf% (120.97 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 0.89 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -98.7% (-71.46 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -96.8% (-49.60 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2837.85 Gg CO2 / year which is 8.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 16.2% (401.32 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -9.8% (-138.67 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6596.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 19.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -16.4% (-1293.58 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -22.3% (-1665.04 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5195.33 Gg CO2 / year which is 78.8% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -6.2% (-343.07 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -7.7% (-343.37 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1401.33 Gg CO2 / year which is 21.2% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -40.1% (-950.51 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -44.0% (-1321.67 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2270.39 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 28.4% (514.82 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -2.0% (-27.25 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 339.99 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CO2 with 202.82 Gg CO2 / year (46446.3%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -108.90 Gg CO2 / year (-0.6%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: 5, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 4, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 4, CO2 with 105.10 Gg CO2 / year (87154.5%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -7.90 Gg CO2 / year (-0.1%)
• 3: 2, CH4 with 0.02 Gg CO2 / year (3.6%)
• 4: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 5, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 20760.96 Gg CO2 / year which is 49.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.5% (-108.90 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-7.90 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1722.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.02 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 11471.57 Gg CO2 / year which is 27.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 7287.18 Gg CO2 / year which is 17.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 2.8% (202.82 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 2.3% (105.10 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 339.99 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).