Change analysis for Moldova, Republic of for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by -16.8%% (-2615.35 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -1.2%% (-200.80 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by -2.5%% (-240.88 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -0.0%% (-3.04 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -1846.22 Gg CO2 / year (-18.0%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with -442.23 Gg CO2 / year (-24.0%)
• 3: 2, CO2 with -175.23 Gg CO2 / year (-20.8%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with -95.07 Gg CO2 / year (-31.0%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -70.20 Gg CO2 / year (-19.5%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, N2O with -138.44 Gg CO2 / year (-42.3%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 134.37 Gg CO2 / year (17.3%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -112.81 Gg CO2 / year (-6.9%)
• 4: 1.A, CO2 with -93.48 Gg CO2 / year (-0.9%)
• 5: 5, N2O with 45.54 Gg CO2 / year (inf%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -240.80 Gg CO2 / year (-4.5%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -0.07 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with -0.01 Gg CO2 / year (-15.3%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 1.A, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2.96 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with -0.08 Gg CO2 / year (-3.8%)
• 3: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with -0.00 Gg CO2 / year (-15.3%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with -0.00 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 5: 1.B.2, N2O with -0.00 Gg CO2 / year (-43.9%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• CRT data from BTR1 covering 1990-2022 has been included. It replaces and extends older NC / NIR data and leads to changes for several sectors and gases.
  • The new data introduces high changes for many sectors and gases.
  • The most important change for 2023 is a 18% drop in energy CO2 emissions. The change comes from an emissions decline for 2022 in the CR data which is not present in the third party data (EI). CH4 is also much lower post 2020 because of a decline not present in EDGAR data used for extrapolation in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1.
  • For cumulative emissions changes in agricultural N2O have the highest contribution. However the decrease in livestock emissions is almost equal to the increase in M.AL.ELV and the change is largely due to a remapping of indirect emissions from manure management from the livestock sector where it’s grouped in the IPCC1996 categories to sector 3.C in the IPCC2006 categories.
  • Waste CH4 emissions are lower for all years but especially after 2005.
  • IPPU CO2 emissions are lower for the latest years because the new CR data shows a drop in emissions for 2022 for many subsectors.
• Changes in the TP scenario are very small except for energy CO2 in 2023 which comes from the updated EI data.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -1846.22 Gg CO2 / year (-18.0%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with -442.23 Gg CO2 / year (-24.0%)
• 3: 2, CO2 with -175.23 Gg CO2 / year (-20.8%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with -95.07 Gg CO2 / year (-31.0%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -70.20 Gg CO2 / year (-19.5%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, N2O with -138.44 Gg CO2 / year (-42.3%)
• 2: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 134.37 Gg CO2 / year (17.3%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -112.81 Gg CO2 / year (-6.9%)
• 4: 1.A, CO2 with -93.48 Gg CO2 / year (-0.9%)
• 5: 5, N2O with 45.54 Gg CO2 / year (inf%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 9251.08 Gg CO2 / year which is 70.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -18.2% (-1999.21 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.9% (-102.22 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 9017.21 Gg CO2 / year which is 97.5% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -18.3% (-1965.61 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.9% (-100.60 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 233.86 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.5% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -12.5% (-33.59 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-1.62 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 941.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 7.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -20.4% (-246.35 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -4.3% (-32.62 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1381.81 Gg CO2 / year which is 10.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.8% (25.87 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.1% (2.38 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1441.69 Gg CO2 / year which is 11.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -23.5% (-447.52 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -6.6% (-113.87 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 51.45 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by inf% (51.85 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by inf% (45.54 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -240.80 Gg CO2 / year (-4.5%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -0.07 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with -0.01 Gg CO2 / year (-15.3%)
• 4: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 1.A, N2O with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2.96 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 2: 1.B.1, CH4 with -0.08 Gg CO2 / year (-3.8%)
• 3: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with -0.00 Gg CO2 / year (-15.3%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with -0.00 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 5: 1.B.2, N2O with -0.00 Gg CO2 / year (-43.9%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5779.65 Gg CO2 / year which is 62.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -4.1% (-240.80 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-3.03 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5651.36 Gg CO2 / year which is 97.8% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -4.2% (-240.80 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-2.96 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.39 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -3.7% (-0.08 Gg CO2 / year). For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 125.90 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.2% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 971.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 10.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.08 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.01 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1416.93 Gg CO2 / year which is 15.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1058.44 Gg CO2 / year which is 11.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 51.45 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).