Change analysis for Poland for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by -1.0%% (-3402.82 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -0.3%% (-1162.41 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by -0.7%% (-2397.22 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by -0.1%% (-342.44 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -3563.57 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -1331.98 Gg CO2 / year (-8.1%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 1020.10 Gg CO2 / year (6.8%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with 927.46 Gg CO2 / year (7.0%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -516.69 Gg CO2 / year (-10.1%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -516.76 Gg CO2 / year (-13.0%)
• 2: 1.B.3, CO2 with -265.64 Gg CO2 / year (-23.7%)
• 3: 4, CO2 with -259.47 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 4: 1.A, N2O with -166.89 Gg CO2 / year (-6.9%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 64.77 Gg CO2 / year (0.4%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2116.76 Gg CO2 / year (-0.8%)
• 2: 1.B.3, CO2 with -280.46 Gg CO2 / year (-15.5%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.B.3, CO2 with -265.64 Gg CO2 / year (-23.7%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -76.80 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• Data from BTR1 has been replaced by data from the 2025 National Inventory Submission. This leads to changes in several sectors and gases which are small in terms of total emissions.
  • The main change for 2023 is a 1.3% reduction in energy CO2 emissions where 2023 growth rates in the CR data are lower than the growth rates in EI2024 used for extrapolation in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1.
  • IPPU CO2 emissions are lower in 2023 because of a drop in chemical industry emissions not present in EDGAR data used for extrapolation in v2.6.1.
  • HFCs are lower for all years due to lower emissions especially for refrigeration and air conditioning.
  • Waste CO2 emissions are now zero as data for waste incineration is marked as IE (included elsewhere)
  • N2O from M.AG.ELV is higher in 2023 because of an increase in emissions not present in third party data used for extrapolation in v2.6.1.
• N2O emissions in 1.A are lower especially before 2010 because the emissions factor for gasoline has been reduced.
• Changes in the TP scenario are very small and mainly come from the updated EI data for energy CO2.
• CO2 in 1.B.3 is lower for 2023 because emissions have dropped in 2023 in contrast to the trend of the preceding years (CR + TP).

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -3563.57 Gg CO2 / year (-1.3%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with -1331.98 Gg CO2 / year (-8.1%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 1020.10 Gg CO2 / year (6.8%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with 927.46 Gg CO2 / year (7.0%)
• 5: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -516.69 Gg CO2 / year (-10.1%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with -516.76 Gg CO2 / year (-13.0%)
• 2: 1.B.3, CO2 with -265.64 Gg CO2 / year (-23.7%)
• 3: 4, CO2 with -259.47 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 4: 1.A, N2O with -166.89 Gg CO2 / year (-6.9%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 64.77 Gg CO2 / year (0.4%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 319511.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 83.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -1.1% (-3094.52 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-474.99 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 24301.81 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -8.5% (-1895.26 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -2.4% (-558.79 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 33776.74 Gg CO2 / year which is 8.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 3.6% (1190.47 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.2% (59.74 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 17175.50 Gg CO2 / year which is 50.9% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.7% (285.43 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (8.42 Gg CO2 / year).
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 16601.25 Gg CO2 / year which is 49.1% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 5.5% (905.05 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (51.32 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 4147.19 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 10.3% (396.48 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -1.8% (-188.37 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: No data

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with -2116.76 Gg CO2 / year (-0.8%)
• 2: 1.B.3, CO2 with -280.46 Gg CO2 / year (-15.5%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.B.3, CO2 with -265.64 Gg CO2 / year (-23.7%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with -76.80 Gg CO2 / year (-0.0%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 312606.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 81.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.8% (-2397.22 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-342.44 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 25049.65 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 35098.12 Gg CO2 / year which is 9.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 10089.16 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 865.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).