Change analysis for Rwanda for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 32.9%% (3404.79 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 21.0%% (1439.30 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 3.3%% (263.32 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.3%% (16.63 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 1139.08 Gg CO2 / year (28.2%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with 1021.00 Gg CO2 / year (98.5%)
• 3: 1.A, CO2 with 603.00 Gg CO2 / year (31.5%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 291.86 Gg CO2 / year (62.9%)
• 5: 3.A, N2O with 223.50 Gg CO2 / year (426.6%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 797.71 Gg CO2 / year (30.9%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with 462.33 Gg CO2 / year (80.9%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 231.42 Gg CO2 / year (77.2%)
• 4: 1.A, CO2 with -220.18 Gg CO2 / year (-18.6%)
• 5: 3.A, N2O with 123.73 Gg CO2 / year (221.8%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 160.43 Gg CO2 / year (12.4%)
• 2: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 84.00 Gg CO2 / year (468.8%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 17.20 Gg CO2 / year (89.7%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with 2.79 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
• 5: 4, CO2 with -1.11 Gg CO2 / year (-29.8%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 8.59 Gg CO2 / year (1.3%)
• 2: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 8.33 Gg CO2 / year (98.5%)
• 3: 4, CO2 with -0.27 Gg CO2 / year (-20.1%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with -0.23 Gg CO2 / year (-0.3%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.21 Gg CO2 / year (3.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• CRT data from BTR1 has been added covering 2006 to 2022. It replaces and extends data from BUR1. This has introduced high changes in many sectors and gases.
  • The two top reasons for the changes are that data extrapolated using third party growth rates has been replaced by country reported data and changes in country reported data. In most cases it is a combination of both. As most sectors are affected we don’t list them here individually.
  • Fugitive emissions data is still taken from third party sources as it is marked as not estimated in BTR1.
• In the TP scenario the most important change is a 12.4% increase in energy CO2 due to the new EI data.
  • HFC emissions are much higher due to the new CR data as they are not included in third party data.
  • CO2 from agriculture is also higher due to the new CR data.
  • CO2 from waste is lower for the same reason

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 1139.08 Gg CO2 / year (28.2%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with 1021.00 Gg CO2 / year (98.5%)
• 3: 1.A, CO2 with 603.00 Gg CO2 / year (31.5%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 291.86 Gg CO2 / year (62.9%)
• 5: 3.A, N2O with 223.50 Gg CO2 / year (426.6%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 3.A, CH4 with 797.71 Gg CO2 / year (30.9%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with 462.33 Gg CO2 / year (80.9%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, N2O with 231.42 Gg CO2 / year (77.2%)
• 4: 1.A, CO2 with -220.18 Gg CO2 / year (-18.6%)
• 5: 3.A, N2O with 123.73 Gg CO2 / year (221.8%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 4158.65 Gg CO2 / year which is 30.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 17.3% (630.08 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -7.5% (-207.86 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3277.50 Gg CO2 / year which is 78.8% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 22.8% (630.08 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -11.9% (-207.86 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 878.56 Gg CO2 / year which is 21.1% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 326.47 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -6.2% (-21.31 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -22.7% (-24.56 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 6884.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 50.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 35.6% (1776.12 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 37.5% (1194.13 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 3.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 5573.07 Gg CO2 / year which is 80.9% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 33.3% (1362.58 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 34.9% (921.44 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • M.AG.ELV: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1311.53 Gg CO2 / year which is 19.1% of category M.AG emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 45.9% (413.55 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 49.9% (272.69 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2233.06 Gg CO2 / year which is 16.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 80.2% (1019.89 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 68.2% (477.59 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 101.49 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 160.43 Gg CO2 / year (12.4%)
• 2: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 84.00 Gg CO2 / year (468.8%)
• 3: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 17.20 Gg CO2 / year (89.7%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with 2.79 Gg CO2 / year (0.8%)
• 5: 4, CO2 with -1.11 Gg CO2 / year (-29.8%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 8.59 Gg CO2 / year (1.3%)
• 2: 2, HFCS (AR6GWP100) with 8.33 Gg CO2 / year (98.5%)
• 3: 4, CO2 with -0.27 Gg CO2 / year (-20.1%)
• 4: 2, CO2 with -0.23 Gg CO2 / year (-0.3%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.21 Gg CO2 / year (3.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3298.83 Gg CO2 / year which is 40.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 5.0% (160.43 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (8.59 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2417.67 Gg CO2 / year which is 73.3% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 6.9% (160.43 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.6% (8.59 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 878.56 Gg CO2 / year which is 26.6% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2.60 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.1% of category 1 emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 450.94 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 24.2% (86.79 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 8.2% (8.09 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 3148.63 Gg CO2 / year which is 38.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.6% (17.20 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.21 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1129.93 Gg CO2 / year which is 13.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-1.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.27 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 101.49 Gg CO2 / year which is 1.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).