Change analysis for Türkiye for PRIMAP-hist v2.7_final compared to v2.6.1_final

Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted linesshow the v2.6.1_final data.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 0.7%% (4035.02 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.3%% (990.66 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2023 have changed by 0.6%% (3361.12 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2023 have changed by 0.0%% (89.26 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 7640.21 Gg CO2 / year (2.0%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with 4218.63 Gg CO2 / year (7.6%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -2698.80 Gg CO2 / year (-18.5%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with -2160.88 Gg CO2 / year (-35.5%)
• 5: 3.A, CH4 with -1877.77 Gg CO2 / year (-4.3%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 2, CO2 with 1026.52 Gg CO2 / year (2.7%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 198.37 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -87.02 Gg CO2 / year (-0.6%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with -63.56 Gg CO2 / year (-1.1%)
• 5: 3.A, CH4 with -55.23 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 3361.24 Gg CO2 / year (0.9%)
• 2: 1.C, CO2 with -0.13 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 89.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 2: 1.C, CO2 with -0.13 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Notes on data changes

Here we list notes explaining important emissions changes for the country.

• Data from BTR1 has been replaced by data from the 2025 National Inventory Submission. This leads to changes in several sectors and gases which are small in terms of total emissions.
  • The main change for 2023 is a 2.0% increase in energy CO2 emissions where 2023 growth rates in the CR data are higher than the growth rates in EI2024 used for extrapolation in PRIMAP-hist v2.6.1. EI2025 also has higher growth rates.
  • For cumulative emissions the most important change is that mineral industry emissions are higher for all years. The reason is a higher emissions factor for cement production.
  • CO2 emissions from the IPPU sector are higher because of an emissions increase in several subsectors not present in the third party data used for extrapolation in v2.6.1.
  • CH4 emissions from livestock, waste, and solid fuels (fugitive) are lower because of a drop not present in third party data.
• Changes in the TP scenario are very small, mostly affect 2023 and mainly come from the updated EI data for energy CO2.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2023

1990-2023

third party scenario

2023

1990-2023

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 7640.21 Gg CO2 / year (2.0%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with 4218.63 Gg CO2 / year (7.6%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -2698.80 Gg CO2 / year (-18.5%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with -2160.88 Gg CO2 / year (-35.5%)
• 5: 3.A, CH4 with -1877.77 Gg CO2 / year (-4.3%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 2, CO2 with 1026.52 Gg CO2 / year (2.7%)
• 2: 1.A, CO2 with 198.37 Gg CO2 / year (0.1%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with -87.02 Gg CO2 / year (-0.6%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CH4 with -63.56 Gg CO2 / year (-1.1%)
• 5: 3.A, CH4 with -55.23 Gg CO2 / year (-0.2%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 400587.45 Gg CO2 / year which is 71.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 1.3% (5202.32 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (130.04 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 73763.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 13.1% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 3.4% (2420.72 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 2.3% (973.48 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 72162.29 Gg CO2 / year which is 12.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -1.2% (-861.16 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-25.33 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 16029.92 Gg CO2 / year which is 2.8% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by -16.2% (-2726.86 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by -0.6% (-87.53 Gg CO2 / year). For 2023 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1092.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 3361.24 Gg CO2 / year (0.9%)
• 2: 1.C, CO2 with -0.13 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

For 1990-2023 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2023 (top 5):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 89.38 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 2: 1.C, CO2 with -0.13 Gg CO2 / year (-100.0%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 4: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)
• 5: 2, PFCS (AR6GWP100) with 0.00 Gg CO2 / year (0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 403732.30 Gg CO2 / year which is 68.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.9% (3361.12 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (89.26 Gg CO2 / year).
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 59759.14 Gg CO2 / year which is 10.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 57007.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 9.7% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 66341.53 Gg CO2 / year which is 11.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1092.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.2% of M.0.EL emissions. 2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2023 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (0.00 Gg CO2 / year).