Change analysis for South Africa for PRIMAP-hist v2.8_final compared to v2.7_final

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Overview over emissions by sector and gas

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the country reported priority scenario. The dotted lines show the v2.7_final data.

The following figures show the aggregate national total emissions excluding LULUCF AR6GWP100 for the third party priority scenario. The dotted lines show the v2.7_final data.

Used country reported data

The changelog with this information is available upon request for non-commercial customers. Paying commercial customers will be provided with the information.

Overview over changes

In the country reported priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2024 have changed by 6.9%% (33863.60 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2024 have changed by 0.3%% (1571.66 Gg CO2 / year)

In the third party priority scenario we have the following changes for aggregate Kyoto GHG and national total emissions excluding LULUCF (M.0.EL):

• Emissions in 2024 have changed by 12.5%% (70026.18 Gg CO2 / year)
• Emissions in 1990-2024 have changed by 1.3%% (7589.83 Gg CO2 / year)

Most important changes per scenario and time frame

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2024 (up to 10 with either at least 0.2% impact on total emissions or at least 20% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 24310.77 Gg CO2 / year (7.0%, 5.0%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with 5317.92 Gg CO2 / year (21.3%, 1.1%)
• 3: 1.B.1, CO2 with 3809.78 Gg CO2 / year (17.1%, 0.8%)
• 4: 2, N2O with 284.07 Gg CO2 / year (65.0%, 0.1%)

In the country reported priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2024 (up to 10 with either at least 0.1% impact on total emissions or at least 10% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 987.43 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%, 0.2%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2024 (up to 10 with either at least 0.2% impact on total emissions or at least 20% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 55599.21 Gg CO2 / year (13.5%, 9.9%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with 4521.50 Gg CO2 / year (29.5%, 0.8%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with 4172.93 Gg CO2 / year (19.7%, 0.7%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CO2 with 3520.07 Gg CO2 / year (25.2%, 0.6%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with 2386.18 Gg CO2 / year (6.9%, 0.4%)
• 6: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with 814.81 Gg CO2 / year (41.6%, 0.1%)
• 7: 1.A, CH4 with -713.75 Gg CO2 / year (-29.1%, -0.1%)
• 8: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -557.41 Gg CO2 / year (-30.4%, -0.1%)

In the third party priority scenario the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2024 (up to 10 with either at least 0.1% impact on total emissions or at least 10% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 6720.88 Gg CO2 / year (1.7%, 1.2%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with 965.42 Gg CO2 / year (6.1%, 0.2%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with -557.90 Gg CO2 / year (-17.8%, -0.1%)

Notes on data changes

The changelog with this information is available upon request for non-commercial customers. Paying commercial customers will be provided with the information.

Changes by sector and gas

For each scenario and time frame the changes are displayed for all individual sectors and all individual gases. In the sector plot we use aggregate Kyoto GHGs in AR6GWP100. In the gas plot we usenational total emissions without LULUCF.

country reported scenario

2024

1990-2024

third party scenario

2024

1990-2024

Detailed changes for the scenarios:

country reported scenario (HISTCR):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2024 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2024 (up to 20 with either at least 0.2% impact on total emissions or at least 20% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 24310.77 Gg CO2 / year (7.0%), 5.0%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with 5317.92 Gg CO2 / year (21.3%), 1.1%)
• 3: 1.B.1, CO2 with 3809.78 Gg CO2 / year (17.1%), 0.8%)
• 4: 2, N2O with 284.07 Gg CO2 / year (65.0%), 0.1%)
• 5: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with 37.64 Gg CO2 / year (92.1%), 0.0%)
• 6: 2, CH4 with 26.59 Gg CO2 / year (28.2%), 0.0%)
• 7: 1.B.2, N2O with -14.93 Gg CO2 / year (-90.6%), -0.0%)
• 8: 1.B.2, CH4 with -4.09 Gg CO2 / year (-27.8%), -0.0%)

For 1990-2024 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2024 (up to 20 with either at least 0.1% impact on total emissions or at least 10% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 987.43 Gg CO2 / year (0.3%), 0.2%)
• 2: 1.B.2, N2O with -0.43 Gg CO2 / year (-35.3%), -0.0%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 374169.23 Gg CO2 / year which is 77.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 7.4% (28138.15 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (1258.16 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 345387.75 Gg CO2 / year which is 92.3% of category 1 emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 6.9% (24353.07 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.3% (1038.93 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 28686.94 Gg CO2 / year which is 7.7% of category 1 emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 14.0% (3812.74 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.7% (219.55 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 94.54 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.0% of category 1 emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by -32.8% (-27.66 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by -0.0% (-0.32 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 31604.02 Gg CO2 / year which is 6.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 17.6% (5803.43 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.8% (275.23 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 53124.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 11.0% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 0.6% (292.77 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (1.47 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 20677.41 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.3% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by -3.2% (-682.19 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by -0.2% (-29.68 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2616.74 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 13.4% (311.45 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 2.7% (66.49 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  

third party scenario (HISTTP):

Most important changes per time frame

For 2024 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 2024 (up to 20 with either at least 0.2% impact on total emissions or at least 20% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 55599.21 Gg CO2 / year (13.5%), 9.9%)
• 2: 2, CO2 with 4521.50 Gg CO2 / year (29.5%), 0.8%)
• 3: 4, CH4 with 4172.93 Gg CO2 / year (19.7%), 0.7%)
• 4: 1.B.1, CO2 with 3520.07 Gg CO2 / year (25.2%), 0.6%)
• 5: 1.B.1, CH4 with 2386.18 Gg CO2 / year (6.9%), 0.4%)
• 6: M.AG.ELV, CH4 with 814.81 Gg CO2 / year (41.6%), 0.1%)
• 7: 1.A, CH4 with -713.75 Gg CO2 / year (-29.1%), -0.1%)
• 8: M.AG.ELV, CO2 with -557.41 Gg CO2 / year (-30.4%), -0.1%)
• 9: 2, CH4 with 91.20 Gg CO2 / year (76.6%), 0.0%)
• 10: 1.B.2, CH4 with 82.59 Gg CO2 / year (119.1%), 0.0%)
• 11: 1.B.1, N2O with -3.99 Gg CO2 / year (-29.4%), -0.0%)

For 1990-2024 the following sector-gas combinations have the highest absolute impact on national total KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) emissions in 1990-2024 (up to 20 with either at least 0.1% impact on total emissions or at least 10% change):

• 1: 1.A, CO2 with 6720.88 Gg CO2 / year (1.7%), 1.2%)
• 2: 4, CH4 with 965.42 Gg CO2 / year (6.1%), 0.2%)
• 3: 1.A, CH4 with -557.90 Gg CO2 / year (-17.8%), -0.1%)

Changes in the main sectors for aggregate KyotoGHG (AR6GWP100) are

• 1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 486773.10 Gg CO2 / year which is 83.6% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 13.0% (60880.63 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 1.3% (6421.00 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  The changes come from the following subsectors:
  • 1.A: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 432776.48 Gg CO2 / year which is 88.9% of category 1 emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 13.2% (55022.93 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 1.5% (6134.59 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.1: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 52611.75 Gg CO2 / year which is 10.8% of category 1 emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 12.1% (5902.26 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.4% (289.83 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
  • 1.B.2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 1384.88 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.3% of category 1 emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by -4.7% (-44.55 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-3.42 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
    
    There is no subsector information available in PRIMAP-hist.
• 2: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 34636.66 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.9% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 12.8% (4614.84 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.5% (123.79 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• M.AG: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 32199.94 Gg CO2 / year which is 5.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by -0.1% (-31.11 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 0.0% (8.21 Gg CO2 / year).
• 4: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 26098.62 Gg CO2 / year which is 4.5% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 19.3% (4250.37 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 5.9% (970.34 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  
• 5: Total sectoral emissions in 2022 are 2616.74 Gg CO2 / year which is 0.4% of M.0.EL emissions. 2024 Emissions have changed by 13.4% (311.45 Gg CO2 / year). 1990-2024 Emissions have changed by 2.7% (66.49 Gg CO2 / year). For 2024 the changes per gas are:
  
  For 1990-2024 the changes per gas are: